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 Wednesday, October 27, 2004

Don't want to get anyones hopes up, but this Eminem video is very very cool.

I'm definitely feeling something in the air as November 2nd rolls around. I don't think the polls are really as close as the pollsters say they are. Consider this:

There is a massive effort to get out the young vote (18-24). This hasn't happened in a generation, at least. I wouldn't be surprised if young voters turn out in record numbers. And pollsters do not get to talk to young voters.

More and more people don't talk to telemarketers. Just this morning, I hang up on one. Was it a pollster calling to ask my opinion on something? Pollsters don't talk to people who use technology (even call display) to block the calls.

More and more people don't have a regular phone. Something like 5% of people only use a cell phone for all their calls. Pollsters don't talk to those people.

More and more people are out of the house from between 8am and 9pm - at work, out with friends, at dinner... Pollsters don't call outside those hours, and so pollsters don't get to talk to those people.

I have American citizen friends living in Canada. Him and his wife are definitely going to vote in the election from here. How many ex-patriate Americans are going to make the extra effort to vote this time around? Pollsters don't talk to those people.

So the question is, if you were able to ask young people, people with 2-3 jobs who are never home to answer the phone, and ex-patriates who they are going to vote for... who are they going to say? How many votes is that anyway? Several million more than 4 years ago, that's for sure.

I wouldn't be surprised if it is not that close on election day. I think both the Democrats and Republicans want you to think their candidate might lose, just to get out all the possible voters. But in the end, it might not be that close.

When I say Checkmate, I mean that Eminem video is very well done. The song itself is catchy. The video has amazing, never-before seen graphics and imagrey.  This could play on MTV, VH1 , whatever... all week next week. It'll be the hottest download on Kazaa. This video could influence the election.

(Maybe...)

 

Wednesday, October 27, 2004 3:39:51 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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Scott Duffy
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