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 Friday, October 10, 2008

With all the hand wrining over the markets, what is really going on?

This powerpoint deck explains it really, really, really well.

http://www.docstoc.com/docs/1822343/Sequoia-Venture-Capital-Warning-to-CEOs

Most interesting and informative thing I've read on this crisis by far.

 

Friday, October 10, 2008 2:05:23 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
Business and Investing | Technology | The Blogging Life
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 Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke today said that "Outlook has worsened", and that phrase has been plastered on everywhere from CNN to the New York Times. It makes a convenient headline, and unfortunately its not at all true.

With all due respect, I disagree. I use Outlook every day, and in fact my experience with the software has gotten better. Microsoft has turned Outlook into one of the most useful software programs on computers today. Bernanke must be a Mac zealot, or a Linux head, blindly hating everything Microsoft does without regard to the facts.

Oh what's that? He said "outlook for economic growth"? Oh, that's different. Nevermind.

 

Tuesday, October 07, 2008 4:46:12 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article4810644.ece

“Corporate India is in shock after a mob of workers bludgeoned to death the chief executive who sacked them from a factory in a suburb of Delhi.”

 

He was meeting with a few of them to discuss bringing them back to work, but I guess the negotiations weren’t going as well as the workers wanted. Apparently violent protests from workers are becoming more common in India, and I wouldn’t be surprised if India loses significant amount of foreign investment because of these events and others.

 

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article4817414.ece

“However, Oscar Fernandes, who heads the country’s Ministry of Labour and Employment, declined to criticise the attack, saying it “should serve as a warning for management”.

 

Mr Fernandes added: “Workers should be dealt with with compassion . . . workers should not be pushed so hard that they resort to whatever happened.””

 

Unbelievable. He’s saying it is management’s fault this man was killed by a mob. I guess politicians are slimy no matter where they are. But those comments will be sent around the world, and I predict investment in India will pretty much stop.

 

 

Tuesday, October 07, 2008 12:53:04 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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 Monday, October 06, 2008

Yes, I'm certainly going for the sensationalist headline with this.

But one of my formerly-favorite personal finance bloggers, who has not been heard from on his blog in 5 months, lost $75,000 more on his portfolio since I last wrote on it. I calculate PFBlog's investments at $737,000, where they stood at $896,000 in May. That's down $160,000, or 17%. Ouch.

I'm not sure he could have picked a worse batch of stocks to invest in: AIG, eBay, and American Express. Coupled with steep 30-40% losses in international mutual funds.

 

Monday, October 06, 2008 7:01:02 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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 Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Recently, a blog I enjoyed reading stopped blogging. Well two of them actually, but Jason Calacanis announced his retirement from blogging. The MM from PFBlog just stopped with no announcement.

PFBlog was interesting to me because he's been documenting his path to an early retirement and becoming a millionaire. He's been open and public about his net worth, and the month-to-month machinations in his financial status. I could never do this so openly, but it's fun to watch. Or was until he stopped.

When financial bloggers stop blogging, you have to wonder... is it because the stock market is down? Is it painful posting about your fifth (or eighth) consective monthly decline in net worth? As an outsider, there's a certain fascination to seeing someone who lost $60,000 on the stock market last month. But obviously as the person who lost $60,000 in one month, it might not be as fun.

MM's last post was in June, to report his May net worth. His total portfolio at that time was reported at $896,000. I wonder how he has done since then?

Well, since he's so open about his investments, I did a calculation. Entered his investments into Excel and got the current prices from Yahoo Finance.

The PFBlog investment portfolio is currently worth... $814,668. That's a $81,427 decline in just over two months (-9.1%). And the stock market is actually up over the last month or so.

So I can see why he stopped blogging. Just wish he hadn't, and it's time for everyone to learn how to handle how to invest in down markets, including short selling, stop loss orders, and the like.

 

Wednesday, August 27, 2008 3:13:22 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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 Friday, August 15, 2008

In the world of SEO, the rule of thumb is generally that you should aim to make a great site first and foremost. Have great content, and people will link to it. Be relevant to what searchers are looking for, and Google will try to send people to you. Sure, there are ways to make a good site better. But ultimately if you have a web site no one really wants to visit, you should focus on improving it and not worrying about SEO.

But we live in a world where web traffic equals money. If a web site can attract a millon visitors a month, with advertising and other forms of revenue generation, it can often lead to tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of dollars in the pocket of the owner. So people are always trying to find ways to get rankings that they don't deserve.

These techniques are sometimes called Black Hat SEO. While some people engage in them, there are penalties for doing some of these things on your web site can get you dropped from Google or relagated to the 60th page of results.

1) Keyword stuffing.

Let's say you are trying to make the worlds premiere site on basket weaving. If you created a web page that used the word basket weaving 200 times, you'd think that you would appear higher in search results than a page that only used the term 5 times. And you'd be wrong. Repeating a keyword dozens of times is looked at as clearly spamming, and can work against you. And it doesn't look good to viewers of your web site to see the same words repeated over and over.

2) Invisible text.

So you think you can add some keywords to a page, by using white text on a white background. And somehow that would make your site look better to visitors and trick Google into thinking those keywords are relevant. Anytime a technique is to "trick Google" its generally black hat.

3) Google-only content.

Perhaps you're a clever php developer, and you can recognize when the Google spider comes to your site and serve special optimized content for it. But when a real visitor arrives, you can deliver different content (and tons of ads). Again, tricking Google is a bad idea and can lead to penalties.

4) Link farms.

So you remember reading somewhere that Google counts the number of links pointing to your page, and that gives it a higher PageRank. That's partly true. But if you register 200 domain names, create one page sites that simply have links to your main site, that would be a "link farm" and you'd be penalized for using them. The sites that link to your site need to have their own credibility. Having hundreds of non-credible sites linking to you does you no good.

5) Auto-generated content.

Let's say you sold cars. Obviously it would be very difficult to rank highly for "cars". Could you rank for "Canada cars". Maybe not even that. But could you rank for "Toronto cars"? Perhaps. Could you rank for "Toronto Queen Street cars"? More likely. Spammers figured this out too, and developed a technique of creating auto-generated web pages. A program goes and creates one web page for every city and every country in the world for their keyword. And then they submit those to Google and wait for the traffic to come. In fact, to take it further, you could create a site with one page for each street in every city in every country in the world. And you'd think therefore you'd rank highly for "Toronto Queen Street cars". And again, you'd be wrong. Sites with millions of pages are rarely (never) relevant, and Google is smart enough to remove those from its index.

6) Bad neighborhoods.

Finally, if your web site is linking to hacking sites, spammers, porn, drugs, illegal activities, and generally to anything questionably moral, you could be penalized in terms of google ranking compared to sites that do not do those things. It may not be fair depending on your point of view, but who said life is fair?

 

Friday, August 15, 2008 10:07:49 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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 Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Perhaps, this seems self-evident. But the same could be said for the previous SEO tips (title tag and meta tags). But you have to ask yourself the question, why would anyone want to come to my web site? And why would they want to tell others about your web site?

The answer is usually content.

If you think of the web sites you personally visit frequently, what is it about them that keeps you coming back? Some of the common ones are:

  • Continually updating content (articles, blogs, news, stock prices, job listings)
  • Source of reference materials, or vast amount of information (wikipedia, imdb, google maps)
  • Useful features (applications and tools, email hosting, calendar, portfolio tracking, to do lists)
  • Community (forums, comments, friends)

So does your web site have ANY of these features? Some web sites do, and some don't. If you web site does not have content that ever changes, and does not provide any useful features or community, why would someone want to come back there a second time? Why would they want to send their friends there?

Not all content types are useful for all web sites. Trying to build a web site that incorporates all four of the above types into one site might cause a case of "jack of all trades, master of none". Specialization and niche are not bad things on the Internet.

So ask yourself, why would anyone want to come back to this site after the first time? Why would they ever want to publish the URL to their site and recommend people come here? Answer that question, work on improving your content along those lines. And that will be an important element of your SEO game plan.

 

Wednesday, August 06, 2008 6:48:15 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] -
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The opinions expressed herein are my own personal opinions and do not represent my employer's view in any way.

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Scott Duffy
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